Friday, June 17, 2011

Deutsche Bank’s Chief Casts a Long Shadow in Europe - NYTimes.com

Deutsche Bank’s Chief Casts a Long Shadow in Europe - NYTimes.com

Mr. Hellwig, the economist, says such hefty returns are possible only for banks that know they would be rescued if they ran into trouble — in other words, for banks too big to fail.

Anshu Jain, the head of Deutsche Bank’s investment banking unit, is often mentioned. But Mr. Jain, who grew up in India, is not fluent in German and would be hard-pressed to take over the political obligations that come with the job of running Deutsche Bank.

Sunday, June 12, 2011

Everything You Need To Know About The Secret Bilderberg Meeting Taking Place In Switzerland

Everything You Need To Know About The Secret Bilderberg Meeting Taking Place In Switzerland :--

A supposed interview with a self-proclaimed well-connected Swiss banker is published on Bilderberg2011, an unofficial website about the meeting.

It claims that the Bilderberger's new plan is to censor the internet and "use terrorism or whatever as a reason."

The banker also claims that they put out orders to kill.





From the 2011 list of attendees:

  • Eric Schmidt, Executive Chairman of Google
  • Chris Hughes, Facebook co-Founder
  • Reid Hoffman, LinkedIn co-Founder and Executive Chairman

(This is probably where the conspiracy theory about internet censorship came from.)



Read more: http://www.businessinsider.com/everything-you-need-to-know-about-the-secret-bilderberg-meeting-of-the-worlds-top-bankers-2011-6#this-year-the-conspiracy-theory-is-that-there-are-plans-to-censor-the-internet-3#ixzz1P4HPLM9R

2009 Tax Misery & Reform Index - Forbes.com

2009 Tax Misery & Reform Index - Forbes.com

The Misery score is the sum of the taxes shown in the colored bars, at the highest marginal percentage in each locale. It's our best proxy for evaluating whether policy attracts or repels capital and talent. The countries at the top of the chart impose the harshest taxes while those at the bottom are the most tax friendly.

The Reform column reflects a reduction in misery (a negative number highlighted in red) or an increase in misery in the past year. In most of the world local governments are usually funded from property taxes, which aren't part of the Misery Index.

Friday, June 10, 2011

Stay Away From Our Pay, Private Equity Tells Washington - NYTimes.com

Stay Away From Our Pay, Private Equity Tells Washington - NYTimes.com: "private equity council" vs. Financial Stability Oversight Council vs. Too big to fail .


The potential crackdown on executive compensation also troubles the private equity industry. The new proposal would for the first time require firms with more than $1 billion to file detailed accounts of their incentive-based compensation with the S.E.C., which could then ban any awards it finds “excessive.” Financial firms that have $50 billion or more in assets would have to defer half of their executive bonuses for three years.

Wednesday, June 8, 2011

It might be time to talk double-dip recession - The Term Sheet: Fortune's deals blog Term Sheet

It might be time to talk double-dip recession - The Term Sheet: Fortune's deals blog Term Sheet

But these aren't normal times. Consumers are still heavily in debt and are worried about the future; businesses remain reluctant to invest; banks are nervous about lending; states are laying off workers by the tens of thousands. In such circumstances it is conceivable that small shocks could tip the economy back toward recession. Take the rise in gas prices to $4 a gallon (closer to $5 in my forecourt), which acts like a tax increase. Higher gas prices, if sustained, could knock a full percentage point off economic growth over the next year.

Falling house prices and the possibility of a big slowdown in China, the locomotive of the world economy, are other worries, as is the possibility of the European debt crisis spiraling out of control. But my biggest concern is the coming reversal in U.S. policy, which the markets are probably underestimating. Since the fall of 2008, policymakers at the Fed, at the White House, and on Capitol Hill have had but one aim: heading off an economic disaster and ensuring a recovery. Now other concerns are starting to predominate: the deficit, the dollar, and inflation. As Congress shifts from passing stimulus programs to cutting spending and the Fed abandons quantitative easing -- pumping extra money into the financial system -- critics of these emergency policies may discover why they were so necessary. (For another view, see "Taking a Stand on Bonds.") Absent the federal government acting as the buyer of last resort, businesses will be even more reliant on exports. And without the Fed stoking the markets, Wall Street could be facing more tough times.

Is the private sector ready to stand on its own two feet? We are about to find out. Roubini, perhaps realizing that he hopped off the double-dip train early, appears about ready to clamber back on board. Speaking at a hedge fund conference in early May, he trimmed his 2011 growth forecast to less than 2% and said unemployment could head back up to 10%. "Things," he declared, "are going to be much more difficult than they have been so far."

--John Cassidy is a Fortune contributor and a New Yorker staff writer.

One of China's richest men, Zong Qinghou says he lives on $20 a day

"One of China's richest men, Zong Qinghou says he lives on $20 a day"

Tuesday, June 7, 2011

Fog index

Gobbledygook stumps financial professionals too | Reuters


Researchers at the University of Michigan analyzed tens of thousands of 10-K reports filed by companies over a 12-year period to assess their level of readability.

The reports, yearly filings required by U.S. securities regulators, are supposed to provide a clear-eyed look at a company's performance. They tend to be drier and more technical than the glitzy illustrated annual reports that companies give their shareholders.

"The less readable these documents are, the more pressure it creates from clients for analysts to provide commentary and forecasts," said Feng Li, an accounting professor who worked on the study.

In other words, when ordinary investors can't make heads or tails of a report, they lean on the professionals to explain what it means.

"This increases the number of analysts who weigh in on these stocks and enhances their influence on investors, even while it reduces the analysts' collective accuracy," Li told Reuters.

To gauge the reports' readability, Li and two university colleagues, Reuven Lehavy and Kenneth Merkley, applied something called the Fog Index to some 33,000 10-K filings.

The Fog Index aims to measure the complexity of a piece of writing as a function of sentence length and the number of "complex" words of three or more syllables.

The index provides an estimate of the number of years of formal education required for a person of average intelligence to read a passage once and understand it. The higher the number, the harder the writing is to understand.

The mean score for the 10-Ks the researchers looked at was 19.53. Someone who spent that many years in the classroom should have at least a master's degree.

Healthcare and insurance companies had the highest scores (20.22 and 20.16), so it's not just their policies that are hard to understand.

Precious metals had the lowest score at 18.43. Gold is a one-syllable word.

Berkshire Hathaway (BRKa.N), known for the chatty shareholder letters of its Chief Executive Warren Buffett, came in at 17.23, making it one of the companies with the highest readability.

Still, that level is well above what most people would consider plain English. Reader's Digest magazine is said to have a Fog score of 8, while the Wall Street Journal's is 12. The story you're reading now, based on a random sample plucked from somewhere in the middle, weighs in at 14.

Not surprisingly, analysts take longer to issue their own reports based on hard-to-read 10-Ks -- 10 percent to 15 percent longer on average, the study found -- and their earnings forecasts based on these reports tend to be less accurate than those from more readable ones.

More surprising, perhaps, is that the less readable a corporate report is, the more influence it appears to have on investors. Analyst forecasts based on 10-Ks in the highest, or least readable, Fog quartile have about 10 percent more influence on investors than those from the lowest, or most readable, quartile, as measured by stock movement on the day of the forecasts.

The study was published in the May/June issue of the Accounting Review, a journal of the American Accounting Association.